Saturday, March 22, 2008

The Democratic Conundrum

The Democratic party is in big trouble.  And unless something is done soon, they risk losing an election that was pretty much handed to them on a silver platter.  A party with a president that has an approval rating in the lower thirties, that holds power during an economic recession, and that started and continues a hugely unpopular war has a chance to keep the most powerful elected position in the world.

This Democratic nomination fiasco is not about electability.  Although the campaigns would both like you to think that their candidate has a better shot at beating McCain, this is not their reason for fighting.  If it was truly about electability, the campaigns wouldn't be throwing potentially damaging arguments against someone in their own party who has a possibility of running against McCain!  

The blame should be placed on two entities.  First of all, and this has nothing to do with my support of Senator Obama, the blame lies on the Clinton campaign.  In an article on Politico.com yesterday, some advisors on the Clinton campaign put her odds of winning the nomination at 10%.  I think Hillary Clinton is a great candidate.  I think that if Barack Obama wasn't her competition, she would have run away with the nomination.  But the Clinton strategy is flawed.  They are seemingly keeping her around in case something huge happens to Barack Obama to knock him out of the race.  At the same time, they are saying things and doing things to try to knock him out of the race.  In this situation, you run the risk of knocking Obama down instead of knocking him out of the race.  If he is knocked down, and still wins the nomination, he runs a serious risk of handing the presidency back to the Republican party.

For the past several weeks, we have seen both Bill and Hillary Clinton praising John McCain.  Just yesterday, Bill stated that if we get John McCain and Hillary facing off against one another that we would have "an election year where you had two people who loved this country and were devoted to the interest of this country, and people could actually ask themselves who is right on these issues, instead of all this other stuff that always seems to intrude itself on our politics."  With this statement, he is seemingly insinuating that Obama vs. McCain would not have two candidates that both loved and were devoted to our country.  The only element different is Obama, so he must be insinuating that Obama does not love our country nor is he devoted to the best interests of our country.

This is one of those little jabs meant to try to knock Obama down instead of knocking him out.  This is damaging to the party.  In my opinion, if Hillary Clinton truly cares about the democratic agenda and the democratic voters, she will step aside.  She can continue to serve the country by being a wonderful senator.  Let the Democratic party throw Obama at the Republicans.  Stand behind him and support him on his way to the White House.  It is more important for the state of the Democratic party that you get someone in the White House than it is to fight an uphill battle against someone who has the same ideas as you, save small differences in health care policies.  

The other party I blame is the media.  The media loves a horse race.  Clinton vs. Obama is providing this horse race.  I turn on the news and I see every statement, mannerism, and breath critiqued.  Yet, John McCain, this week got away with making some crucial errors.  These errors weren't about his personal life.  These errors were about the basis of his campaign, his foreign policy experience.  The media was too busy targeting Obama on the Rev. Wright issue than to bring up how important these gaffes were by McCain.  Even today, Bill Clinton got coverage for questioning Obama's patriotism.  While I think that is an important issue, it is a Democratic party issue.  If the news media's goal is educating the American people, they are failing miserably.  What McCain said, and apparently believed since he said it four times, is extremely important.  If McCain makes people think Iran is training al-Qaeda, then people are more likely to support military action against Iran!  This deserves more coverage than Bill Clinton taking small swipes at Obama, or Rev. Wright's comments on race and 9-11.  If McCain convinces the American people that Iran is training al-Qaeda, the same thing that happened with Iraq will happen.  Only we will still be in Iraq. 

The media has a responsibility.  Instead of talking about what Obama meant by 'typical white person', they need to focus on issues that have a direct impact on the lives of the American people.  If McCain is setting up another war, as of right now, the media is not doing enough to hinder his cause.  I don't know if McCain is trying to do this, so don't get me wrong.  But what I am saying is that if Americans turn on the news and see McCain say 'Iran is training al-Qaeda in Iraq', some are going to believe him.  And they are going to think that it is in our country's best interest to take out that threat.  

I got a little off subject there, but I thought it needed to be said.  The media is also keeping Clinton alive in this race.  If it would have been Obama and John Edwards at this point, Obama would be the nominee.  The same way the media stopped giving coverage to Ron Paul on the Republican side, they would have done to any other candidate.  They are making it appear as if Clinton has more of a shot than she does.  This does two things.  It allows Clinton to keep jabbing at Obama, trying to knock him out.  The other thing it does is raise false hopes in the Clinton supporters minds.  By raising these hopes, you are setting them up for a fall.  This fall could take the Democratic party with it.  This fall could bring feelings of blame towards Obama for ruining their chances.  There is a huge risk with making voters think Hillary is just as much in this race as she was before February.  The reality is, she isn't.  The Clinton supporters are now facing much more of a disappointment.  This disappointment could make people stay at home on election day.  And that is not the American way.

Friday, March 21, 2008

State of the Race - 2008

In this post I'm going to give a quick summary of where I think all potential candidates are in the race.

John McCain - I believe John McCain is right where he needs to be.  He is the hardest opponent the Democrats could've been handed this year.  He has the title of Republican Candidate, which is enough to help out with the branches of the conservative base that don't listen to Rush Limbaugh or pay too much attention to mainstream media (MSM).  At the same time, however, he can pull the more-informed Independent voters based on his long record in the Senate.  While the non-MSM watching Republican voters will believe McCain is conservative based on him being a Republican, the informed Independent voters will look at his record and his more moderate stances on campaign finance reform, torture, and earmark spending and like what they see.  It doesn't hurt his cause that right now he is traveling around, looking almost presidential, while his opponents on the other side of the aisle are fighting amongst themselves.  We'll see if his luck holds up.

Barack Obama - Barack Obama is in trouble.  After a barrage of attacks that didn't seem to stick that well, there is now the explosive story of Rev. Dr. Jeremiah Wright.  This is an attack that wasn't launched by his political opponents, but instead, by the YouTube generation.  This attack shows that, for all the Americans how there who are willing to look beyond race and politics of old, there are still so many who draw conclusions based on stories like this.  And, trust me, there are going to be a lot of these voters.  With the story breaking this evening about contracted workers for the State Department illegally viewing Mr. Obama's passport records, as well as the information that Gov. Bill Richardson will be endorsing Barack later today, we'll surely see how much traction this Rev. Wright story gets.  Does anyone else notice how the MSM has in effect silenced Hillary Clinton throughout all of this?  All this attention, albeit mostly negative for the past week, on Barack Obama, has somewhat pushed Hillary Clinton out of the forefront of people's minds.  It seems to have become less about the fight for the Democratic nomination than about Barack Obama's personal fight to prove himself in a rough political world.  Will this attention, in the end, help or hurt Barack Obama in his attempt to become the Democratic Nominee?  The attention has not all been negative of course, with his remarkable speech on Tuesday as well as the impending endorsement of Bill Richardson.  We'll see what luster Barack Obama has left, if any, next week.

Hillary Clinton - Where has Hillary been?  While Barack Obama is in the fight for his politcal life on the personal front, Hillary Clinton is in the fighting to stay afloat and provide herself a pathway to the nomination.  This has been the week of Hillary Clinton trying desperately to get the Michigan and Florida delegates counted.  She has slammed Barack Obama for not doing enough to ensure the Michigan and Florida votes are counted.  It is going to be very hard for her to get this attack across right now, with all the Rev. Wright stuff floating around.  As well as the State Department story.  Apparently, Hillary Clinton has decided to fight to win a state that Barack Obama was picked to win with flying colors.  My state, North Carolina.  Bill Clinton is going to be here in Charlotte as well as near Raleigh, NC tomorrow to promote his wife's candidacy.  As the ˆNew York Timesˆ stated in their article, Hillary needs three things to happen to win this nomination.  She needs to get the most popular votes (which she desperately needs Michigan and Florida to do), she needs to win Pennsylvania handily, and she needs for something major to happen to make Barack Obama falter.  This Rev. Wright thing could be fulfill the third step, but as of right now it doesn't appear to be.  It doesn't seem to be affecting the superdelegates, as even afterwards, Bill Richardson is going to endorse Barack. Hillary has a tough, tough fight ahead of her, but if her past is any indication she is just the type of candidate that can withstand the odds that are in front of her.

Welcome!

This is my first attempt at blogging.  Bear with me.  On to politics.  First, a little about me.  I'm a 22 year-old college student living in Charlotte, NC.  I am a registered Democrat and currently support Barack Obama.  The reason I am telling you this is because I think transparency is a good thing.  If you know where I'm coming from, you hopefully will have some sort of basis for trust.  I am going to try my best to keep this thing unbiased.  If you see that I am being biased in anyway, let me know.  I want to do my best to be a voice of unbiased reason.  Please enjoy!